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How to Buy Databricks Stock Before IPO

The complete guide to investing in Databricks, the $43 billion unified data and AI platform powering enterprise analytics.

Last Updated: January 2026

Company Overview

Databricks is a unified data analytics and artificial intelligence platform that helps enterprises manage, process, and extract insights from massive datasets. Founded in 2013 by the creators of Apache Spark—one of the most widely used open-source data processing frameworks—Databricks has grown into a $43 billion category-defining company at the intersection of data engineering, data science, and machine learning.

The company pioneered the "data lakehouse" architecture, which combines the flexibility and cost-effectiveness of data lakes with the performance and governance of data warehouses. This innovation has attracted over 10,000 customers including more than 50% of the Fortune 500, making Databricks the infrastructure backbone for data-driven enterprises.

Databricks' customer roster includes:

  • Energy & Industrials: Shell, Chevron, Regeneron, 3M
  • Healthcare & Life Sciences: Regeneron, CVS Health, Nationwide
  • Financial Services: Morgan Stanley, HSBC, BlackRock
  • Retail & Consumer: Walgreens, H&M, AB InBev, Comcast
  • Technology: Block (Square), Rivian, Atlassian

Key Facts:

  • Founded: 2013
  • Founders: Ali Ghodsi (CEO), Matei Zaharia, Ion Stoica, Patrick Wendell, Reynold Xin, Andy Konwinski, Arsalan Tavakoli-Shiraji (Apache Spark creators from UC Berkeley)
  • Headquarters: San Francisco, California
  • Employees: 5,000+ globally
  • Current Valuation: $43 billion (September 2023 funding round)
  • Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR): $1.6 billion (as of January 2023), estimated $2.4B+ (2024)
  • Revenue Growth: 50%+ year-over-year
  • Customers: 10,000+ organizations globally

Products & Services

Databricks Lakehouse Platform

The core product is the Databricks Lakehouse Platform, a unified environment for data engineering, data science, machine learning, and business analytics. The lakehouse architecture solves a fundamental problem enterprises face: data is scattered across data warehouses (structured data for analytics), data lakes (raw unstructured data for flexibility), and specialized systems (machine learning platforms, streaming data processors).

Databricks unifies these into a single platform built on open standards, allowing organizations to:

  • Store all data types (structured, semi-structured, unstructured) in one location
  • Run SQL queries for business intelligence on the same data used for machine learning
  • Ensure governance, security, and compliance across all data uses
  • Scale from gigabytes to petabytes seamlessly
  • Collaborate across data teams with shared notebooks and workflows

Delta Lake: Open-Source Foundation

Delta Lake is Databricks' open-source storage layer that brings ACID transactions (atomicity, consistency, isolation, durability) to data lakes. This was a breakthrough innovation because traditional data lakes lacked the reliability guarantees of databases, leading to data quality issues and failed analytics projects.

Delta Lake provides:

  • ACID transactions ensuring data consistency even with concurrent reads/writes
  • Time travel (accessing historical versions of data)
  • Schema enforcement and evolution
  • Unified batch and streaming data processing
  • Performance optimizations including data indexing and caching

By open-sourcing Delta Lake, Databricks created an ecosystem that drives adoption of its commercial platform while establishing technical moats through community contribution and standardization.

MLflow: Machine Learning Lifecycle Management

MLflow is Databricks' open-source platform for managing the machine learning lifecycle, including experimentation, reproducibility, deployment, and monitoring. Data scientists and ML engineers use MLflow to:

  • Track experiments (parameters, metrics, model versions)
  • Package ML code for reproducibility
  • Deploy models to production
  • Manage model registry and versioning
  • Monitor model performance and detect drift

MLflow has become an industry standard with millions of downloads and integration into the workflows of thousands of organizations. Like Delta Lake, open-sourcing MLflow creates ecosystem effects that benefit Databricks' commercial platform.

Unity Catalog: Data Governance & Security

Unity Catalog is Databricks' unified governance solution for data and AI assets. As enterprises scale data initiatives, governance becomes critical for security, compliance (GDPR, HIPAA, SOC 2), and preventing data misuse.

Unity Catalog provides:

  • Centralized access control across all data assets
  • Fine-grained permissions (table, column, row-level security)
  • Audit logging of all data access
  • Data lineage tracking (understanding data origins and transformations)
  • Discovery and search across data assets

This is a key enterprise feature that creates switching costs—once governance policies are implemented in Unity Catalog, migrating to competitors becomes extremely complex.

SQL Analytics & Business Intelligence

Databricks SQL (formerly SQL Analytics) allows business analysts to run SQL queries and create dashboards directly on the lakehouse, competing with traditional BI tools like Tableau, Looker, and PowerBI. This expands Databricks' addressable market from data engineers and data scientists to the much larger population of business analysts and decision-makers.

Features include:

  • Serverless SQL execution (no infrastructure management)
  • Built-in visualization and dashboarding
  • Integration with BI tools (Tableau, PowerBI, Looker)
  • Query performance optimization
  • Collaboration features for sharing insights

AI and Machine Learning Tools

Databricks has aggressively invested in AI/ML capabilities, positioning the platform as the infrastructure for enterprise AI:

AutoML: Automated machine learning that enables non-experts to build models

Feature Store: Centralized repository for ML features with consistency between training and production

Model Serving: Low-latency model deployment with autoscaling and monitoring

LLM Integration: In response to the generative AI boom, Databricks integrated large language model (LLM) capabilities including:

  • Fine-tuning open-source LLMs (Llama, MPT, Falcon) on enterprise data
  • Vector database support for retrieval-augmented generation (RAG)
  • LLMOps tools for managing generative AI workflows
  • Integration with OpenAI, Anthropic, and other LLM providers

The AI boom has been a massive tailwind for Databricks, as enterprises need infrastructure to train, fine-tune, and deploy AI models on their proprietary data.

Deployment Options

Databricks runs on all major cloud platforms:

  • AWS: Most mature deployment, largest customer base
  • Microsoft Azure: Strategic partnership announced 2021, strong growth
  • Google Cloud Platform: Newer deployment option, expanding

Multi-cloud support is a competitive advantage, allowing customers to avoid cloud vendor lock-in and run Databricks wherever their data resides.

Valuation & Funding History

Databricks has raised over $4 billion across multiple funding rounds, with valuation growing from $25 million in 2013 to $43 billion in 2023:

Valuation Timeline:

  • 2013: $25 million (Series A - Andreessen Horowitz)
  • 2014: $115 million (Series B)
  • 2016: $515 million (Series C)
  • 2017: $1.4 billion (Series D)
  • 2019: $2.75 billion (Series E)
  • 2021: $28 billion (Series G - $1.6B raise)
  • 2021: $38 billion (Series H - $1.6B raise, September 2021 at peak tech valuations)
  • 2023: $43 billion (Series I - $500M raise, September 2023)

Unlike many tech companies that experienced down rounds in 2022-2023, Databricks raised at a higher valuation ($43B vs $38B), reflecting strong business fundamentals, accelerating growth driven by AI demand, and improving path to profitability.

Major Investors:

  • Andreessen Horowitz (a16z): Lead investor since Series A, board seat
  • NEA (New Enterprise Associates): Major growth investor
  • Insight Partners: Growth-stage investor across multiple rounds
  • Fidelity Investments: Late-stage crossover investor
  • T. Rowe Price: Public market crossover investor
  • Coatue Management: Growth equity investor
  • Tiger Global: Growth-stage investor
  • Baillie Gifford: Public market crossover investor
  • CapitalG (Alphabet's growth fund): Strategic investor
  • Nvidia: Strategic investor (partnership around GPU acceleration for ML)

Funding Use: Databricks has used capital primarily for:

  • Product development (AI/ML features, multi-cloud expansion)
  • Sales and marketing to win enterprise customers
  • International expansion (Europe, Asia-Pacific)
  • Strategic acquisitions (including Redash for visualization, MosaicML for generative AI)
  • Infrastructure scaling to support customer growth

How to Invest in Databricks

Databricks is privately held and not available on public stock exchanges. Accredited investors can purchase shares through secondary markets where employees and investors sell their holdings.

Secondary Market Platforms

Forge Global

  • Regular Databricks availability
  • Minimum investment: Typically $100,000
  • Direct share purchases or SPV structures
  • Transaction fees: 3-5%
  • Timeline: 2-3 months from commitment to settlement

EquityZen

  • Lower minimums via pooled investment structures
  • Minimum investment: $50,000-75,000 typically
  • One-time 5% fee
  • Active Databricks secondary market

Hiive

  • Employee-focused secondary platform
  • Minimum investment: $50,000+
  • Growing Databricks presence

Recent Secondary Market Pricing

Databricks shares trade actively on secondary markets given strong growth and approaching IPO. Recent pricing (2024-2026):

  • September 2023 round: $73.50 per share at $43B valuation
  • Q4 2024 - Q1 2025: $75-85 per share (implying $44-50B valuation)
  • Current range (Q1 2026): $80-90 per share (implying $47-52B valuation)

Secondary market pricing has trended upward driven by:

  • Accelerating revenue growth (50%+ YoY) fueled by AI/ML adoption
  • Expectation of 2026 IPO creating liquidity path
  • Strong customer retention and expansion
  • Public comparable valuations (Snowflake, MongoDB) expanding

Investment Process & Timeline

  1. Week 1-2: Create account on secondary platform, verify accredited investor status
  2. Week 2-4: Review Databricks offerings, conduct due diligence, commit to investment
  3. Week 4-10: Databricks exercises Right of First Refusal (ROFR), reviews and approves transaction
  4. Week 10-12: Transaction settles, shares transfer

Total timeline: 2-3 months. Databricks generally approves employee secondary sales, particularly as company approaches IPO.

Who Can Invest

You must be an accredited investor:

  • Income: $200,000+ individual or $300,000+ joint annual income
  • Net worth: $1,000,000+ excluding primary residence
  • Professional credentials: Series 7, 65, or 82 licenses
  • Entity investors: Qualified entities meeting asset thresholds

Complete accredited investor guide →

Investment Considerations

Growth Drivers & Bull Case

AI/ML Boom Tailwind: The explosion in artificial intelligence and machine learning adoption is a massive driver for Databricks. Every enterprise AI initiative requires:

  • Data infrastructure to store and process training data
  • ML platforms to build, train, and deploy models
  • Governance to ensure responsible AI use
  • Vector databases and LLM infrastructure for generative AI

Databricks is positioned as the end-to-end platform for enterprise AI, benefiting from the multi-year AI transformation trend. The generative AI wave specifically has driven acceleration in customer adoption and expansion.

Data Lakehouse Category Creation: Databricks pioneered the data lakehouse architecture, which is becoming the industry standard for modern data platforms. Gartner, Forrester, and other analysts recognize lakehouse as the future, replacing separate data lakes and data warehouses. As the category leader and creator, Databricks has first-mover advantages in customer adoption, ecosystem development, and technical innovation.

Strong Customer Growth & Retention: Databricks has achieved impressive metrics:

  • Net Dollar Retention: 140%+ (existing customers expand spending by 40%+ annually)
  • Fortune 500 penetration: 50%+ of Fortune 500 are customers
  • Multi-million dollar contracts: Growing number of $10M+ ARR customers
  • Customer concentration low: No single customer represents >10% of revenue

High net dollar retention indicates customers are expanding usage significantly, often 2-5x their initial contract value within a few years. This creates predictable revenue growth and reduces dependency on new customer acquisition.

Consumption-Based Model: Unlike traditional SaaS with fixed seat licenses, Databricks charges based on compute usage (processing power consumed). This model has advantages:

  • Revenue scales with customer value realization
  • No artificial usage limits or seat restrictions
  • Customers can start small and expand organically
  • Revenue growth accelerates as customers run more workloads

As customers migrate more analytics and ML workloads to Databricks, consumption increases exponentially, driving revenue growth beyond what traditional SaaS economics would allow.

Open-Source Ecosystem Moats: By open-sourcing Delta Lake, MLflow, and contributing to Apache Spark, Databricks has created powerful moats:

  • Developers learn Databricks technologies in school and bring them to employers
  • Community contributions improve products faster than closed competitors
  • Standards adoption makes Databricks the default choice
  • Ecosystem partners build integrations around Databricks tools

Multi-Cloud Strategy: Support for AWS, Azure, and GCP allows customers to:

  • Avoid cloud vendor lock-in
  • Run Databricks where their data already resides
  • Adopt multi-cloud strategies for resilience

This is a competitive advantage over cloud-native competitors tied to a single cloud provider.

Path to Profitability: Databricks has stated it is approaching profitability and could be profitable on a quarterly basis when it chooses (important for IPO readiness). The company's consumption-based model has strong unit economics once customer acquisition costs are recovered. As the customer base matures and growth moderates to sustainable 30-40% rates, profitability will improve significantly.

Risks & Challenges

Intense Competition: The data platform market is highly competitive with well-funded rivals:

  • Snowflake (public, $50B market cap): Leading cloud data warehouse, expanding into data engineering and ML. Direct competitor with strong enterprise sales and marketing machine.
  • Google BigQuery: Cloud-native data warehouse from Google Cloud, integrated with GCP services, price competitive
  • Amazon Redshift & EMR: AWS data warehouse and big data processing, tightly integrated with AWS ecosystem
  • Microsoft Fabric: Unified analytics platform from Microsoft, integrated with Azure and Power BI
  • Dremio, Starburst: SQL-on-anything engines competing in data virtualization

Competition could pressure pricing, slow customer acquisition, or require increased sales/marketing spend.

Snowflake Head-to-Head Rivalry: Snowflake vs. Databricks has become the defining rivalry in enterprise data platforms. Both companies compete for the same large enterprise customers with overlapping use cases. Key differences:

  • Databricks strength: Data engineering, machine learning, open-source ecosystem, multi-cloud portability
  • Snowflake strength: SQL analytics, ease of use for analysts, data sharing, enterprise sales execution

While use cases differ (Databricks for ML/engineering, Snowflake for analytics), convergence is occurring as both expand product portfolios. Some enterprises use both; others choose one platform and consolidate.

Cloud Provider Competition: AWS, Azure, and GCP offer their own data and ML platforms at potentially lower prices (since they control underlying infrastructure). While Databricks has partnerships with cloud providers, there's inherent tension:

  • Cloud providers may prefer customers use native services
  • Pricing advantages for cloud-native services
  • Tight integration with cloud ecosystems

Databricks must continuously demonstrate superior technology and multi-cloud portability to justify its layer of abstraction and pricing.

Technology Risk & Pace of Change: The data and AI landscape evolves rapidly. Databricks must continuously innovate to stay ahead:

  • New data architectures (data mesh, data fabric) could disrupt lakehouse model
  • GenAI breakthroughs could change how enterprises work with data
  • Cheaper compute and storage could commoditize data processing
  • Open-source alternatives could replicate Databricks capabilities

Customer Concentration in Tech: While no single customer dominates, Databricks has material exposure to technology companies and financial services. Economic downturn or tech recession could slow customer expansion and new bookings.

Consumption Model Volatility: Usage-based pricing creates revenue volatility. If customers reduce consumption during budget cuts or optimize workloads to use less compute, revenue growth could slow suddenly. This contrasts with subscription SaaS where revenue is more predictable.

Profitability Pressure: Databricks has not disclosed exact profitability but has invested heavily in growth. The company will face pressure to demonstrate profitability before/during IPO process. Slowing growth to achieve profitability could impact valuation multiples.

Valuation Risk: At $43-50B valuation and $2.4B+ estimated ARR (2024), Databricks trades at approximately 18-20x revenue—premium multiples requiring sustained high growth. If growth slows below 30-40% or profitability disappoints, valuation could compress. Snowflake (public comparable) trades at 15-20x revenue depending on market conditions.

Competitive Landscape Analysis

Databricks vs. Snowflake: The marquee rivalry in data infrastructure.

  • Market cap: Snowflake ~$50B (public), Databricks $43-50B (private)
  • Revenue: Snowflake $2.8B (2024), Databricks ~$2.4B estimated
  • Growth: Both growing 30-50%+
  • Differentiation: Databricks ML/AI-first, Snowflake analytics-first. Increasing convergence in capabilities.

Market Position: Databricks is the clear leader in ML/AI workloads and data engineering, while Snowflake leads in SQL analytics and business intelligence. Both have multi-billion dollar revenue opportunities and can coexist, though direct competition is intensifying.

IPO Outlook: Strong Likelihood of 2026

Databricks is widely expected to pursue an IPO in 2026, making it one of the most anticipated tech offerings alongside Stripe.

IPO Readiness Indicators:

  • Confidential filing: Databricks has reportedly filed confidentially for IPO with the SEC
  • Financial milestones: $1.6B ARR as of January 2023, likely $2.4B+ by end of 2024, on track for $3B+ by IPO
  • Profitability pathway: Management has stated company could be profitable when it chooses
  • Customer maturity: 10,000+ customers including 50% of Fortune 500
  • Competitive position: Clear category leader in data lakehouse and ML platforms
  • Market conditions: Tech IPO market recovering from 2022-2023 freeze
  • Executive readiness: Experienced leadership team with public company expertise

Expected IPO Timeline:

  • Most likely: H2 2026 (second half of 2026)
  • Contingent on: Achieving profitability milestone, sustained 40%+ growth, IPO market remaining open

Potential IPO Valuation:

  • Base case: $50-65B market cap at IPO (15-50% premium to current private valuation)
  • Bull case: $70-80B if AI boom continues driving exceptional growth and Snowflake-like multiples (20x revenue)
  • Bear case: $40-50B if growth moderates or market conditions deteriorate

Valuation will depend on disclosed revenue (~$3-3.5B ARR at IPO), growth rate (targeting 40%+), profitability, and revenue multiples for Snowflake and other SaaS comparables.

What IPO Means for Shareholders:

  • Lock-up period: 180-day lock-up preventing immediate sales
  • Liquidity after lock-up: Can sell freely on public markets
  • Valuation discovery: True market price will be revealed
  • Quarterly reporting: Transparency into financial performance

Investors purchasing at current $43-50B secondary market valuations could see 20-60% upside if IPO prices at bull case valuations, or flat to modest gains at base case. Given strong fundamentals and IPO likelihood in 12-18 months, risk/reward appears favorable for late-stage pre-IPO investors.

Key Metrics & Financial Performance

Databricks is private and discloses limited financial data. The following are based on confirmed disclosures and estimates:

Revenue & ARR:

  • January 2023: $1.6 billion ARR (annual recurring revenue)
  • 2024 estimate: $2.4 billion ARR (50%+ growth)
  • 2025 projection: $3.3-3.5 billion ARR (assuming 40% growth)

Growth Rate: 50%+ year-over-year (accelerating from 40% in prior periods due to AI/ML boom)

Customer Metrics:

  • Total customers: 10,000+ organizations
  • Fortune 500 penetration: 50%+ (250+ Fortune 500 companies)
  • Net Dollar Retention: 140%+ (existing customers expand spending by 40%+ annually)
  • Multi-million dollar customers: Hundreds with $1M+ ARR, dozens with $10M+ ARR

Profitability:

  • Not yet profitable on GAAP basis (investing heavily in growth)
  • Management has stated could achieve profitability when company chooses
  • Likely to demonstrate profitable quarters before IPO
  • Gross margins estimated at 70-75% (typical for cloud software)

Operational Metrics:

  • 5,000+ employees globally
  • Offices in 25+ countries
  • Runs on AWS, Azure, and GCP
  • Processes exabytes of data for customers

Recent News & Developments

MosaicML Acquisition (2023): Databricks acquired generative AI startup MosaicML for $1.3 billion, adding capabilities for training and deploying large language models. This positioned Databricks to capitalize on the GenAI boom and compete with specialized ML platforms.

AI/ML Acceleration (2024-2025): Databricks reported significant growth in AI/ML workloads, with customers using the platform for:

  • Fine-tuning open-source LLMs (Llama, MPT) on proprietary data
  • Building retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) applications
  • Vector database operations for semantic search
  • Production ML model deployment at scale

NVIDIA Partnership: Expanded partnership with NVIDIA for GPU-accelerated data processing and AI training. NVIDIA is also a strategic investor, signaling confidence in Databricks' AI platform.

IPO Preparation: Multiple reports indicate Databricks is preparing for 2026 IPO, with confidential filing expected or already submitted. Company has been conducting investor education and building relationships with public market analysts.

Customer Wins: Continued success landing major enterprise customers across industries, with notable wins in financial services, healthcare, and manufacturing sectors.

Should You Invest in Databricks?

Databricks represents one of the highest-quality pre-IPO enterprise software investments available. The company combines strong fundamentals (50%+ growth, 140%+ net retention, clear path to profitability) with massive secular tailwinds (AI/ML adoption, data lakehouse architecture shift, cloud data transformation).

With a likely 2026 IPO, current investors at $43-50B valuations have a clear liquidity path within 12-18 months and potential for significant upside if the company IPOs at premium valuations.

Databricks is potentially attractive for investors who:

  • Believe in the AI/ML transformation of enterprises over next 5-10 years
  • See data infrastructure as critical to digital transformation
  • Want exposure to a likely 2026 IPO with strong fundamentals
  • Appreciate category-creating companies with technical moats
  • Can invest $50,000-100,000+ and hold for 1-3 years
  • Accept moderate risk for late-stage pre-IPO companies

Databricks may not be suitable for investors who:

  • Need immediate liquidity (IPO likely but not guaranteed, plus 180-day lock-up)
  • Are concerned about Snowflake competition and market share battles
  • Worry about consumption-based revenue volatility
  • Prefer profitable companies with disclosed financials
  • Want lower-risk, more established public companies

The investment thesis is straightforward: Databricks is riding the AI wave, has proven execution, dominates its category, and will likely go public in 2026 at a premium to current valuations. The combination of strong business fundamentals and near-term liquidity makes Databricks one of the most compelling pre-IPO opportunities available.

As always, diversify holdings, limit position size to 5-10% of portfolio, and consult financial advisors before investing.

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